The Carbon Capture Era

May 27, 2019

What happened?

Earlier this month, Irish startup Silicon Kingdom Holdings announced plans to develop a plant that will capture 100 metric tons of CO2 a day, which will ultimately be scaled to a capacity of 4 million tons of CO2 a year. This follows a series of recent funding in other “direct air capture” technologies, such as Carbon Engineering, which announced in March that it has received an additional $70 million in funding, including investments from major oil and gas companies such as BHP and Chevron. Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) involves the capture of CO2 from fuel combustion or industrial processes at the precise moment and place it is emitted. The increasing popularity of CCS technologies is largely attributable to decreasing costs and increasing efficiencies. Research from eight years ago still pointed to problems such as costs ($1.000 per ton CO2 captured) and efficiency (net positive CO2 emissions) due to the use of fossil-based energy sources for CCS processes. However, current research shows that the costs are below $100 per ton CO2 and it achieves significant carbon removal.

What does this mean?

A plethora of reports have stressed the urgency of reducing worldwide CO2 levels. The IPCC has highlighted that achieving the ambitions of the Paris Agreement will require more than just efforts to reduce emissions; it will also require the deployment of technologies to actually remove carbon from the atmosphere. CCS is one of the only technology solutions that can significantly reduce emissions directly at the source of CO2-intensive processes. In the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) sustainable development scenario, CCS accounts for 7% of the cumulative emissions reductions needed by 2040 (other components are 6% nuclear and 34% renewables). 80% of today’s CCS capacity is concentrated in the oil and gas sector, of which 70% is in North America (due to policy support).

What's next?

In order to achieve the IEA’s 7%, society must overcome three hurdles. First, an analysis by the IEA suggests that attracting investments in CCS will require a commercial incentive as low as $40 per ton of CO2. This $40 goal is not yet in sight,considering that currently, only under favorable circumstances (i.e. pure streams of CO2 in normal operation, such as natural gas processing), have the costs been lower than the average of $100 per ton CO2. Second, broader application across industries and continents is necessary. Authorities need to recognize the high potential of CCS in delivering the steep emissions reductions needed across key industrial processes such as steel, cement and chemicals manufacturing, all of which will remain vital business blocks of the modern industrial society. Third, authorities need to develop attractive policy incentives to stimulate future projects that can advance expertise and drive down costs. Given the serious contribution of CCS to cumulative emissions reductions, policy-makers should establish attractive funding to complement commercial investments.

Series 'AI Metaphors'

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1. The tool
Category: the object
Humans shape tools.

We make them part of our body while we melt their essence with our intentions. They require some finesse to use but they never fool us or trick us. Humans use tools, tools never use humans.

We are the masters determining their course, integrating them gracefully into the minutiae of our everyday lives. Immovable and unyielding, they remain reliant on our guidance, devoid of desire and intent, they remain exactly where we leave them, their functionality unchanging over time.

We retain the ultimate authority, able to discard them at will or, in today's context, simply power them down. Though they may occasionally foster irritation, largely they stand steadfast, loyal allies in our daily toils.

Thus we place our faith in tools, acknowledging that they are mere reflections of our own capabilities. In them, there is no entity to venerate or fault but ourselves, for they are but inert extensions of our own being, inanimate and steadfast, awaiting our command.
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2. The machine
Category: the object
Unlike a mere tool, the machine does not need the guidance of our hand, operating autonomously through its intricate network of gears and wheels. It achieves feats of motion that surpass the wildest human imaginations, harboring a power reminiscent of a cavalry of horses. Though it demands maintenance to replace broken parts and fix malfunctions, it mostly acts independently, allowing us to retreat and become mere observers to its diligent performance. We interact with it through buttons and handles, guiding its operations with minor adjustments and feedback as it works tirelessly. Embodying relentless purpose, laboring in a cycle of infinite repetition, the machine is a testament to human ingenuity manifested in metal and motion.
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3. The robot
Category: the object
There it stands, propelled by artificial limbs, boasting a torso, a pair of arms, and a lustrous metallic head. It approaches with a deliberate pace, the LED bulbs that mimic eyes fixating on me, inquiring gently if there lies any task within its capacity that it may undertake on my behalf. Whether to rid my living space of dust or to fetch me a chilled beverage, this never complaining attendant stands ready, devoid of grievances and ever-willing to assist. Its presence offers a reservoir of possibilities; a font of information to quell my curiosities, a silent companion in moments of solitude, embodying a spectrum of roles — confidant, servant, companion, and perhaps even a paramour. The modern robot, it seems, transcends categorizations, embracing a myriad of identities in its service to the contemporary individual.
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4. Intelligence
Category: the object
We sit together in a quiet interrogation room. My questions, varied and abundant, flow ceaselessly, weaving from abstract math problems to concrete realities of daily life, a labyrinthine inquiry designed to outsmart the ‘thing’ before me. Yet, with each probe, it responds with humanlike insight, echoing empathy and kindred spirit in its words. As the dialogue deepens, my approach softens, reverence replacing casual engagement as I ponder the appropriate pronoun for this ‘entity’ that seems to transcend its mechanical origin. It is then, in this delicate interplay of exchanging words, that an unprecedented connection takes root that stirs an intense doubt on my side, am I truly having a dia-logos? Do I encounter intelligence in front of me?
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5. The medium
Category: the object
When we cross a landscape by train and look outside, our gaze involuntarily sweeps across the scenery, unable to anchor on any fixed point. Our expression looks dull, and we might appear glassy-eyed, as if our eyes have lost their function. Time passes by. Then our attention diverts to the mobile in hand, and suddenly our eyes light up, energized by the visual cues of short videos, while our thumbs navigate us through the stream of content. The daze transforms, bringing a heady rush of excitement with every swipe, pulling us from a state of meditative trance to a state of eager consumption. But this flow is pierced by the sudden ring of a call, snapping us again to a different kind of focus. We plug in our earbuds, intermittently shutting our eyes, as we withdraw further from the immediate physical space, venturing into a digital auditory world. Moments pass in immersed conversation before we resurface, hanging up and rediscovering the room we've left behind. In this cycle of transitory focus, it is evident that the medium, indeed, is the message.
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6. The artisan
Category: the human
The razor-sharp knife rests effortlessly in one hand, while the other orchestrates with poised assurance, steering clear of the unforgiving edge. The chef moves with liquid grace, with fluid and swift movements the ingredients yield to his expertise. Each gesture flows into the next, guided by intuition honed through countless repetitions. He knows what is necessary, how the ingredients will respond to his hand and which path to follow, but the process is never exactly the same, no dish is ever truly identical. While his technique is impeccable, minute variation and the pursuit of perfection are always in play. Here, in the subtle play of steel and flesh, a master chef crafts not just a dish, but art. We're witnessing an artisan at work.
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